After Donald Trump won the US Presidential elections, possible crises in the global intelligence world are also a matter of curiosity. Global direct and cyber espionage attacks by Russia, Iran and China; Mossad’s actions in Iran and Lebanon, as well as what measures US intelligence units will take, are among the topics discussed. According to former FBI agent and intelligence expert Douglas Hart, who evaluated the possibilities in the intelligence world to Haber Global Web Özel, Trump will launch a major intelligence war in the Middle East against Iran. The statements of the famous US intelligence expert Hart, who also claimed that “Regime tension may occur in many countries”, are as follows:
IT MAY TURN INTO A NIGHTMARE
“When Donald Trump is mentioned, of course, the high-level bureaucrats and ministers who were dismissed or resigned during his first presidency come to mind. However, it should not be forgotten that Trump always gave the highest priority and trust to the CIA and the National Security Agency, the umbrella intelligence agency in the country. “But Trump’s foreign policy priorities could turn into a nightmare for the functioning of the two intelligence services in the early days of his presidency.”
TARGET IRAN
“The CIA has given all its intelligence priority to Russia and China. Trump, on the other hand, does not want to interfere directly or indirectly with intelligence bodies in Russia’s internal affairs or the war in Ukraine. Still, I think the White House will act sensibly and maintain this balance. The intelligence budget and field-analysis studies will be divided from Russia and directed directly to Iran. The assassinations that Trump suffered during his election campaign were reported to him in a report. It was the CIA that delivered reports that Iran was behind the assassination attempts. So Trump now trusts the CIA more than the Presidential Secret Service.”
DEALING WITH THE FBI
“The only institution that Donald Trump will want to make serious structural changes to is the FBI. The FBI, along with the ‘Secret Service’, was severely criticized both for being the main unit collecting evidence in the cases filed against Trump and for being ineffective in the assassination attempts. Although this means a reckoning for Trump, these attempts cannot yield any results, as the FBI has remained independent of presidents throughout its history. Still, those at the FBI are aware that there will be long-lasting tension between them and Trump.”
“SHADOW WAR”
“Reasons such as Donald Trump’s success in the White House and Congress, Vice President JD Vance and all the candidates named for the cabinet are hawks, and the Republicans entering Congress will fully support Trump; It makes the new president’s hand very strong. Tehran also knows that Donald Trump will direct the CIA’s activities to Iran as soon as he takes office. This concept of struggle will have to be expanded to include many countries, as Iran’s sphere of influence extends throughout the Middle East. It is clear that new intelligence wars will move to the Middle East. “Given Mossad’s ongoing military operations, such a shadow war has the power to create regime tension in many countries.”
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