In June, markets will focus on first quarter growth and inflation data and the interest rate decision that the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) Monetary Policy Committee (PPK) will announce on June 11.
After the 9-day holiday, which includes Eid al-Adha, the data that the markets have eagerly awaited will be shared with the public.
Türkiye’s growth figures for the January-March period will be announced by the Turkish Statistical Institute (TUIK). The Turkish economy recorded 3.6 percent growth last year and 3.4 percent in the last quarter of 2025, carrying its growth trend into the 22nd quarter.
Economists participating in AA Finance’s expectation survey estimate that gross domestic product (GDP) will increase by 2.7 percent on an annual basis in the first quarter.
FOREIGN TRADE FIGURES
Minister of Commerce Ömer Bolat is planned to announce foreign trade data for May at a meeting to be held in Ankara on June 4.
Bolat stated that exports in April increased by 22.3 percent to 25.4 billion dollars compared to the same month of the previous year, despite the difficult international economic, commercial, political and geopolitical developments, and said, “The second highest monthly goods export figure in the history of our Republic was achieved.” He used the expression.
TurkStat will share workforce statistics for April with the public on the same day. The unemployment rate in Türkiye was 8.1 percent in March, decreasing by 0.3 points compared to the previous month. The number of unemployed people in the 15 and over age group across Türkiye decreased by 96 thousand in the said period, falling to 2 million 873 thousand people.
The institution will announce inflation data for May on June 5. Consumer Price Index (CPI) was 4.18 percent on a monthly basis in April, and Domestic Producer Price Index (D-PPI) was 3.17 percent. Annual inflation was recorded as 32.37 percent in consumer prices and 28.59 percent in domestic producer prices.
TurkStat will announce the real return rates of financial investment instruments for May on June 9. When discounted with the consumer price index (CPI), the highest monthly real return in April was realized in the BIST 100 index with 3.04 percent.
TurkStat will announce the industrial production index for April on June 10. The index decreased by 0.8 percent on a monthly basis and 1.1 percent on an annual basis in March.
MAY BUDGET REALIZATIONS WILL BE ANNOUNCED
CBRT will share April balance of payments statistics with the public on June 12. Türkiye’s current account had a deficit of 9 billion 672 million dollars in March, and its current account excluding gold and energy had a deficit of 3 billion 886 million dollars.
TurkStat will announce wage worker statistics and service production and construction production indices for April on June 15.
The Ministry of Treasury and Finance will announce the budget implementation results for May on June 15. Türkiye’s central government budget revenues were calculated as 1 trillion 186 billion 164 million liras in April, and expenses were calculated as 1 trillion 524 billion 891 million liras. There was a deficit of 338.7 billion liras in the budget in April and 758.8 billion liras in the January-April period.
The producer price index of agricultural products for May will be announced on June 16. On the same day, TURKSTAT will also announce motor vehicle statistics for the month in question.
TurkStat will share housing and workplace sales statistics for May on June 18. The total number of houses sold across Turkey in April was calculated as 126 thousand 808, with an increase of 2.6 percent compared to the same month of the previous year, and the number of workplaces was calculated as 15 thousand 694, with an increase of 10.2 percent.
The institution will publish the agricultural input price index for April on June 19, and the May foreign producer price and June consumer confidence indexes on June 22. Consumer confidence index increased by 0.3 percent on a monthly basis to 85.8 in May.
TurkStat will announce to the public the service producer price index and foreign trade and labor statistics for May on June 30.
MARKETS WILL HAVE THEIR EYE ON THE INTEREST RATE DECISION
The CBRT Monetary Policy Committee meeting will be held on June 11. In its last meeting, the Board kept the one-week repo auction interest rate, which is the policy rate, constant at 37 percent.
In the statement made after the meeting, it was stated that as a result of the uncertainties associated with geopolitical developments, a high trend and significant volatility were observed in energy prices, and said, “These developments and the effects of domestic energy prices on the inflation outlook through the cost channel and economic activity are closely monitored.” The expression was used.
