Parliamentary election in Hungary
New survey puts further pressure on Viktor Orbán
Updated April 9, 2026 – 4:00 a.mReading time: 3 minutes
Hungary’s incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán is facing his toughest parliamentary election. A new survey before the Hungarian election did not produce any positive developments.
Shortly before Hungary’s parliamentary election on April 12, the Hungarian opposition party Tisza may be heading for a two-thirds majority. This is what a new survey suggests before the Hungarian election in 2026. This could give the group around challenger Peter Magyar the opportunity to change the constitution and important laws and obtain the release of blocked EU funds.
The new survey before the Hungarian election comes from a published projection by the opinion research institute Médian. For long-time nationalist Prime Minister Viktor Orbán and his Fidesz party, the upcoming Hungarian election is probably the biggest challenge of their 16 years in power.
According to the forecast, the center-right Tisza party could win between 138 and 142 of the 199 seats in Hungary’s parliamentary elections. 133 seats are required for a two-thirds majority. Orbán’s Fidesz would get 49 to 55 seats, while the right-wing extremist party Mi Hazank (Our Homeland) could enter parliament with five or six seats. Since 2010, Fidesz alone has had a two-thirds majority for most of the time. The party used this power to pass a new constitution and several fundamental laws, including a new electoral law.
While most independent polls ahead of the Hungarian election see Tisza in the lead, Fidesz points to surveys that predict a victory for Orbán’s party. However, critics complain that these surveys mostly come from institutes that have financial or personnel connections to the ruling party.
“Politpro.eu” also bundles the current election polls. And given their poll numbers, things aren’t looking much better for Viktor Orbán and his party. According to the current electoral trend, Tisza and its candidate Magyar will get 48.7 percent, while Orbán’s Fidesz can only expect 40.8 percent of the vote. Apart from MH (5.5 percent), no other party can expect to enter the Hungarian parliament in the election.
