Last hope is La Nina, will it snow this winter?

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Lerato Khumalo

While the temperature increase due to climate change continues to affect the world; There are days left over from summer in Turkey, too. The latest meteorological data clearly reveals the situation in the temperature increase curve. In the Marmara Sea, where the average temperature is 24 degrees in the summer, the temperature values ​​were measured as 26-27 degrees, while in the Black Sea, where the average temperature was 25 degrees, the average value reached 27 degrees. While the temperature record was broken for 60 days in the 92-day summer season, 2024 was recorded as the hottest summer. According to the data, the 2024 summer period was 0.23 degrees higher than the previous summer.

The expected snowfall in Istanbul is expected to knock on the door in January.

DRY WINTER IN THE MEDITERRANEAN

Evaluating the alarming temperature table, experts pointed out that the La Nina effect will be felt starting from October. ITU Climate Science and Meteorological Engineering Department Lecturer Prof. Dr. Mikdat Kadıoğlu said, “In the winter period of 2024-2025, there will be precipitation 50 percent above seasonal norms on the Western, Central and Eastern Black Sea coasts. Similarly, rainfall towards the north of Eastern Anatolia is expected to be 30 percent more than seasonal norms.” he said.

TRAKYA IS GIVING THE ALARM!

Pointing out that rainfall will decrease by half in the coastal Mediterranean, Prof. Dr. Kadıoğlu said, “We foresee a 30 percent decrease in Thrace, the Aegean and Eastern Anatolia. La Nina’s direct effect on weather conditions in places far from the ocean, such as Europe, the Middle East and Türkiye, remains weak. “The autumn season is expected to be warm.” he said.

FLOODS AND FLOODS WILL INCREASE

Haliç University Faculty Member Ahmet Köse stated that there is a 65 percent probability that La Nina conditions occurring over the Pacific Ocean will be active between October and March 2025 and said: “When the cooling in the Pacific comes on top of the warm air in our seas, it will suddenly cool the air with the sudden mixing and cause unstable weather conditions. Now even small rainfalls can cause floods and floods in cities. Unfortunately, the names of the seasons have now changed. Personally, I call these spring flood seasons. “Due to these weather conditions, floods and floods may occur in many parts of our country in autumn.”

EXPECTED WEATHER

Köse summarized the possibilities in the winter months as follows: “In October, air temperatures will be one or two degrees above the seasonal norms throughout the country. In November, the Black Sea coastline will be rainy. When we come to December, the precipitation in the Eastern and Western Black Sea Region will be one or two degrees above the seasonal norms.” The amount will be higher. “After January, temperatures will drop across the country and the expected snow and rain will arrive.”

Last hope is La Nina, will it snow this winter? - Picture: 2
Drought is one of the most important indicators of the climate crisis.

THE NIGHTS ARE SROOKING TOO

On the other hand, according to the latest analysis by “Climate Central”, which conducts global climate research, climate change has significantly increased the number of dangerously hot nights around the world. S.According to preliminary data, Türkiye experienced 12 extra nights above 20 degrees and 2 nights above 25 degrees on national average due to climate change. According to the data, there is a large increase in the number of nights above 25 degrees in many major cities of Turkey, including 65 nights in Mersin, 40 nights in Adana and Seyhan, and 18 nights in Diyarbakır.

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