Has the French expert’s thesis collapsed? Istanbul earthquake is being discussed

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Lerato Khumalo

After the 6.2 concussion in Silivri, Istanbul, many experts say that an earthquake will not take place in Istanbul 7 or more. Prof. Dr. Şener Üşümezsoy, Prof.Dr. Dr. Mustafa Yıldırım and Prof.Dr. Dr. Osman Bektaş’ın earthquake scientists, after the 1999 Gölcük earthquake, the fault lines maps were updated. After the 1999 earthquake, the thesis of the French earthquake scientist Professor Xavier Le Pichon, who came to Türkiye in line with the findings he had obtained, will be accepted in science circles. Türkiye’s fault line maps, which are periodically updated by the joint efforts of many scientific institutions and organizations, especially TÜBİTAK and ITU, have replaced Le Pichon map, which has lost its currentness.

French earthquake scientist Professor Xavier Le Pichon’s idea that a single fault in Istanbul will break and create an earthquake on 7 is no longer widely accepted by earthquake experts.

Pichon’s map is invalid

In 1999, 18 thousand 373 people lost the Great Marmara Earthquake (Gölcük Earthquake) after the accompanying team came to Türkiye and In line with the findings, a report that will take place over 7 earthquakes in Istanbul The claims of the famous French spellingist professor Xavier Le Pichon are on the agenda again. The French earthquake scientist, who lost his life last month, often expressed the idea that the North Anatolian Fault was a single -line fault in Marmara and that it would create an earthquake of 7.6 in 30 years. Le Pichon also claimed that the fault would be broken one piece. However, as a result of ITU geological engineering efforts With the current fault map of Türkiye, which was prepared in 2022, the idea of ​​çalıştır for the destruction of Istanbul is enough to break the fault ”.

There is a multiple fault system

In another criticism of Professor Le Pichon, ITU Geological Engineering Department Professor. Dr. He came from Cenk Yaltırak. Yaltırak had previously claimed to Pichon. The fault map, which was prepared in January 1999, has a multiple fault system. This did not take into account the data and batimetry map”He raised his criticism.

Has the French expert's thesis collapsed? Istanbul earthquake is being discussed - Picture: 2
Professor Le Pichon, 7.8 -magnitude Kahramanmaraş earthquakes, “unpredictable” and “impossible” expressions, while the Turkish earthquake scientists announced that the zone expected a major earthquake.

Kahramanmaraş said “impossible”

Professor Xavier Le Pichon also used for the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake of 7.8 magnitude. However, most of the Turkish earthquake scientists have announced that Kahramanmaraş Fault Zone is characteristic of the inverse and overlapping faults. According to Turkish earthquake scientists, the breaking of the zone was expected through stress transfer. In the earthquake that occurred at the point that Le Pichon called “impossible ,, Anatolia was recorded to the west of about 4 meters and the ground shifts of nearly 3 meters in the areas affected by the earthquake took place. Türkiye lost more than 53 thousand people in this disaster.

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