While tensions were rapidly escalating on the US-Israel-Iran line, European countries that remained outside the war faced a harsh reaction from Donald Trump. Europe, which did not support the USA and Israel to open the Strait of Hormuz, is now discussing the claim made by Israel that “Iran has missiles with a range of 4 thousand kilometers”. While the claim that Iran fired two ballistic missiles at the US-UK base Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean fueled these discussions, Israeli Chief of General Staff Eyal Zamir published a map and said that all European capitals were under threat. Analysis of Iran’s ballistic missile capacity reveals that a significant part of Europe is within range. As alarm levels rose in European capitals, public opinion focused on the range of missiles in Iran’s possession. A military expert who gave information to Haber Global Web Özel stated that Iran does not have a missile with a range of 4 thousand kilometers and said that the missile said to have been fired at Diego Garcia was a ‘false flag’ operation designed to scare Europe.
SOUTHEAST EUROPE IS THE TARGET
International defense publications state that the range of ballistic and cruise missiles in Iran’s inventory starts from approximately 300 kilometers and extends from 2 thousand to 2 thousand 500 kilometers. In particular, medium-range systems such as “Ghadr”, “Sejil”, “Hürremşehr” and “Emad” have the capacity to hit targets thousands of kilometers away.. This range covers not only Israel and the Gulf countries, but also the eastern and southeastern parts of Europe via Türkiye.
THE ENTIRE MIDDLE EAST
According to experts, this capacity puts the Balkans and parts of Eastern Europe, especially Türkiye and Greece, in a direct risk area. Iran is able to hit targets up to approximately 2,500 kilometers with its current missile technology and therefore “The whole of the Middle East, Türkiye, Greece and part of Eastern Europe remain within range” is being evaluated. It is stated that Iran continues its efforts to increase range and sensitivity, and that these borders may expand further with new generation systems. Recent developments reveal that the threat to Europe is no longer a “distant possibility” but a real risk.
HERE IS THE MISSILE CAPACITY
Military analysis indicates that Iran has achieved faster firing and higher hit rates, especially thanks to its new generation solid-fuel missiles. Studies on the ability of systems such as “Sejil” and “Kheibarshekan” to bypass air defense systems worry defense planners in Europe. In addition, cruise missiles with a range exceeding 2 thousand kilometers attract attention with their potential to escape radar detection by flying at low altitude. Military analysis assesses that Romania, Bulgaria and even parts of Central Europe may be at the range limit of advanced systems. Missile range calculations show that a significant part of Europe is within Iran’s “potential reach”, depending on its geographical location.
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